Brief
Micro Focus aimed to estimate the global count of COBOL code lines across all platforms. This stemmed from the current estimate of the size of COBOL, based on mid-1990s data, being outdated. Moreover, Micro Focus saw this as an opportunity to ‘own’ the COBOL space by updating this number.
Using a combination of market knowledge and primary research, the aim was to calculate a single, realistic number of COBOL lines to determine the size of COBOL in existence.
Solution
Based on this brief, Vanson Bourne needed to create a transparent methodology that:
- Takes incomplete knowledge into account
- Recognizes that COBOL users’ knowledge varies by platform, sector, and personal role
- Uses available Micro Focus data sources where possible, and augment with market data if needed
- Takes appropriate advantage of a large number of COBOL users that Micro Focus has direct access to, but also factors in where under-representation of certain platforms exists
We initially ran an extended pilot to test the methodology and calculations. We shared the pilot results with Micro Focus and made the required adjustments.
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Outcome
As a result, we provided Micro Focus with a reasonable likely estimate of the amount of lines of COBOL currently in use. In addition, it became both a preview and post-results webinar, in which we supported and participated.
Excitingly, if you type ‘Amount of COBOL‘ into Google, this is the featured finding that is brought up.
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